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The MAGA Crack-Up: David Corn on Iran, the FBI, and a Democracy Under Siege

Conspiracy Narratives, Media Challenges, and the Long Shadow of Russian Influence

Former CIA officer John Sipher sits down with David Corn, Washington bureau chief for Mother Jones and one of the nation’s most respected political journalists. They dive deep into the explosive schisms within MAGA world triggered by the Iran war, from Tucker Carlson accusing Trump of being the anti‑Christ to escalating feuds between figures like Megyn Kelly and Mark Levin. Corn explains why the FBI under Kash Patel has been gutted of counterterrorism expertise, how a reportedly Kremlin‑connected propagandist gave Patel $25,000, and why career national security officials are now terrified to speak with reporters. The conversation also covers RFK Jr.’s dangerous tenure at HHS, Tulsi Gabbard’s politicization of intelligence, and the media’s struggle to cover an administration that lies as a strategy. Corn offers a sobering assessment of American democracy’s fragility—and where he still finds hope.

Author info:

David Corn is the Washington bureau chief for Mother Jones and a longtime national security and political journalist. He has covered presidents, scandals, and the rise of the modern right for more than three decades. He is the author of several books, including Russian Roulette (with Michael Isikoff) and the forthcoming How Russia Won. His newsletter, R‑Land, is available at davidcorn.com. You can find him on Blue Sky at @davidcorn and on Signal at DavidCorn99.

Transcript – assisted by AI

John Sipher (00:36.186):
Today’s guest is David Corn. David is one of the country’s best-known political journalists and a longtime Washington reporter who has covered presidents, scandals, national security, and the rise of the modern right for decades. He’s now the Washington bureau chief for *Mother Jones*, and his reporting is consistently focused on power, corruption, disinformation, and the health of American democracy. So David, welcome to the podcast.

David Corn (00:59.342):
Good to be with you, John.

John Sipher (01:00.748):
Yeah, it’s good to see you. God, it’s a crazy time and there’s almost too much to talk about. Let me start with some of the stuff you’ve written about lately. You’ve been writing about the schisms in MAGA land for a while. So what has been the impact of the Iran war on these various MAGA influencers? Because I see various odd conspiracies being spread by folks like Nick Fuentes, Candace Owens, Tucker Carlson, Mark Levin, Laura Loomer, Megyn Kelly, Joe Kent—all this kind of stuff. A lot of them seem to have changed or are reacting in different ways. What do you see happening based on what’s happening in Iran?

David Corn (01:38.686):
You do not have the time to get a full explanation of what’s going on in MAGA land on this. Movements often end up with circular firing squads—we’ve seen that on the right and the left. This has turned into a Möbius strip of a firing squad, with incoming and outgoing attacks from all directions in Trump land.

You see people like Mark Levin, very pro–Iran war and pro-Israel, getting into a fight with Megyn Kelly, who supported Trump but is now opposed to the war. It’s gotten extremely vicious. Tucker Carlson has kind of led the way, and we saw this even before the Iran war. There was already a split between “America First” isolationists and pro-Israel hawks within MAGA.

Now the Iran war has blown that divide wide open. Tucker has even broken with Trump, suggesting extreme conspiracy theories, while also making arguments that resonate across political lines. At the same time, figures like Laura Loomer are attacking Tucker for criticizing Trump. Others—Roger Stone, Steve Bannon—are feuding as well.

I wrote about this in my newsletter, but it would take thousands of words to map it fully. It’s real, it’s not going away, and I think it’s bad news for Trump and Republicans. It may not immediately impact elections, but it shows fractures that will have consequences moving forward.

John Sipher (06:37.614):
Is Trump weighing in on either side? Or is he ignoring it?

David Corn (06:43.896):
I think he’s a little busy at the moment. He hasn’t really taken on Tucker yet, which is significant given their relationship. He may address it later, but for now he’s focused elsewhere. Still, this isn’t something that will be patched up easily—it’s likely to worsen, especially if political pressures increase.

John Sipher (08:17.73):
That leads to a bigger question looking toward 2028: is MAGA more than Donald Trump? It doesn’t seem like a consistent ideology.

David Corn (08:38.26):
That’s exactly the question—and part of this fight is about defining MAGA. It’s largely a personality-driven movement. Historically, we’ve seen similar movements centered around figures rather than ideology.

Polling suggests that while “America First” implies isolationism, many MAGA Republicans still support the war. That shows a divide between ideological “America Firsters” and those who simply follow Trump’s lead. MAGA remains, in many ways, a political cult of personality.

As Trump moves in different directions, some supporters will peel away. That’s what we’re seeing now.

John Sipher (10:43.416):
That makes it harder for someone like JD Vance to inherit the movement.

David Corn (11:02.904):
Exactly. It was always going to be difficult, and now even more so because the movement itself is fragmenting. There’s no clear ideological core to inherit.

John Sipher (13:19.502):
You’ve written about Kash Patel—what should we know about his leadership of the FBI?

David Corn (13:30.242):
Morale is reportedly very low. Agents are being reassigned away from their expertise, and key units are being weakened. There’s also a chilling effect—agents may avoid pursuing cases tied to political figures out of fear of repercussions.

Additionally, Patel’s past connections—including payments from a filmmaker linked to Kremlin-aligned messaging—raise serious concerns. This hasn’t received as much attention as it should.

John Sipher (23:03.31):
Are people more willing to leak information under these conditions?

David Corn (23:16.652):
Actually, no. It’s gotten harder. People are more fearful due to subpoenas and retaliation. Even former officials are reluctant to speak, which is unusual compared to previous years.

John Sipher (24:51.874):
What about RFK Jr.?

David Corn (25:18.052):
He has consistently made claims that don’t hold up under scrutiny. During confirmation hearings, he made assurances he hasn’t kept. His positions on public health and conspiracy theories have had significant consequences.

John Sipher (29:39.758):
What’s your take on the media overall?

David Corn (30:09.07):
There’s been strong reporting, but also structural challenges—fewer reporters, too many stories, and difficulty keeping up with the volume of events. There’s also a tendency toward neutral language that can obscure the severity of certain actions.

The “firehose” of information makes it hard to contextualize events, and the traditional model of balancing “both sides” struggles when dealing with misinformation.

John Sipher (35:56.706):
And Tulsi Gabbard?

David Corn (36:19.774):
She has taken positions that align with various controversial narratives and lacks experience in intelligence leadership. Her actions, particularly regarding declassification and interpretation of intelligence, have raised serious concerns about politicization.

John Sipher (45:21.858):
Before we go, what are you working on?

David Corn (45:32.836):
People can find me on Blue Sky or X, and my newsletter is at davidkorn.com. I’m finishing a book titled *How Russia Won*, about the messaging battle over election interference and its aftermath. I’m also continuing to report on the internal conflicts within MAGA.

John Sipher (46:42.166):
You’ve been doing this a long time—you’re a great reporter. I encourage people to follow your work. And for the audience, if you like what you’re hearing, please subscribe to *The Steady State Sentinel*, follow our content, and leave a five-star review. Stay informed, stay engaged, and join us next week.

The Steady State is a nonprofit organization working to sustain our democracy and national security. Join us and support our mission by visiting www.thesteadystate.org.

War does not suspend the law—the principles of distinction, necessity, proportionality, and humanity are not optional, and abandoning them carries real strategic and moral consequences.

In the several weeks since the United States and Israel attacked Iran, the President and Secretary of Defense have announced on a number of occasions that we are winning the war even as the air campaign continues. The President and the Secretary of Defense have identified bombing Iran “back to the Stone Age” as a strategic goal. The Secretary has talked about “giving no quarter” to the enemy and denigrated the need for Rules of Engagement and the requirements of International Humanitarian Law (IHL). It is in this context that a brief discussion of IHL, also referred to as the Law of Armed Conflict (LOAC), might help frame the conversation.

AI Generated Graphic

The core principles of IHL clearly apply to the war in Iran, as all three parties to the conflict are legally bound to follow IHL. The four basic principles of IHL (distinction, military necessity, proportionality and humanity) are established in the Geneva Conventions of 1949 and the Additional Protocols of 1977. These principles seek to provide a legal framework under which armed forces will strive to focus on military targets and limit collateral damage to both people and property to the greatest extent possible.

The implementation of IHL in practice involves difficult and controversial judgments that weigh military necessity against likely collateral damage, to include civilian deaths. Unlike much of our war experience since 9/11 against terrorist and insurgent groups in places like Iraq and Afghanistan, our war with Iran is much more of a traditional conflict against a state actor. Iran is likewise bound by IHL, and any violation of IHL by either side is a potential war crime.

Distinction.

The principle of distinction, added to the Geneva Conventions by the 1977 Additional Protocols, requires parties to a conflict to always distinguish between civilians and combatants, and direct operations only against military targets. Distinction is the most humanitarian of the basic principles, in that it requires military forces at all times to distinguish between military and non-military personnel and military and non-military targets

The principle of distinction covers not only people, but also places. Certain areas, including hospitals and schools, are presumed to be protected from military attack. Protected sites may lose their protected status if they are used for military purposes. Other sites, such as bridges, are of both civilian and military use. In such cases, the burden is on the side making the attack to make the military case for the strike.

Military Necessity

Military Necessity allows all measures necessary to accomplish a legitimate military purpose so long as these measures are not otherwise prohibited by IHL. It is a legitimate military purpose to defeat the enemy as quickly and efficiently as possible, but military necessity does not allow disproportionate or indiscriminate targeting, nor does it allow activities whose purpose is to spread terror among a civilian population. As stated in Rule 54 of the Additional Protocols, an attacking force is not permitted to destroy “objects indispensable to the survival of the civilian population.” Heated rhetoric directed at making Iran uninhabitable calls into question the underlying purpose of continuing air attacks and only invites similar retaliation from Iran.

Proportionality

Proportionality recognizes that incidental harm will occur to civilians during military operations. As with the principle of distinction, proportionality as a concept asks the question of whether anticipated harm to the civilian population is “excessive” relative to the military advantage that is anticipated from the military action. In general, proportionality requires judging each attack on its own merits. In a campaign as massive as the current US and Israel bombing campaign, proportionality judgments must be made countless times each day, highlighting the importance of Rules of Engagement. Because proportionality assumes collateral damage, an objective assessment of whether projected military advantage outweighs anticipated damage to civilian life and infrastructure is a difficult but necessary decision.

Humanity.

The fourth IHL principle is humanity, found at Article 35, which has two major provisions. The first prohibits the use of weapons intended to cause “superfluous injury or unnecessary suffering.” The second prohibits employing methods intended or likely to cause widespread and long-term severe damage to the natural environment. The harsh environment of the Middle East means that populations require desalinization plants to meet water needs and electricity to power air conditioning as a matter of survival for much of the region’s population. In this way, the principle of humanity is related to military necessity.

IHL provides a legal framework under which nations have agreed to conduct military action. The US military has always taken IHL requirements seriously, even as other nations (e.g. Russia) do not. The US military has always prided itself on respecting IHL as a means of effective and honorable warfare. We can only hope that the inappropriate rhetoric emanating from the White House and the Pentagon does not alter the conduct of our uniformed men and women who are fighting this war.

James Petrila spent over thirty years as a lawyer in the Intelligence Community, working at the National Security Agency and, for most of his career, at the Central Intelligence Agency. He has taught courses on counterterrorism law and legal issues at the CIA at the George Washington University School of Law. He is currently a senior advisor to the Institute for the Study of States of Exception and is a member of The Steady State.

Founded in 2016, The Steady State is a nonprofit 501(c)(4) organization of more than 400 former senior national security professionals. Our membership includes former officials from the CIA, FBI, Department of State, Department of Defense, and Department of Homeland Security. Drawing on deep expertise across national security disciplines, including intelligence, diplomacy, military affairs, and law, we advocate for constitutional democracy, the rule of law, and the preservation of America’s national security institutions.

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This week lays bare the consequences of improvised and personality-driven statecraft: The loss of coherence and credibility. As expertise is sidelined, and negotiation gives way to coercion and spectacle, foreign policy becomes less predictable and more prone to miscalculation.

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Founded in 2016, The Steady State is a nonprofit 501(c)(4) organization of more than 400 former senior national security professionals. Our membership includes former officials from the CIA, FBI, Department of State, Department of Defense, and Department of Homeland Security. Drawing on deep expertise across national security disciplines, including intelligence, diplomacy, military affairs, and law, we advocate for constitutional democracy, the rule of law, and the preservation of America’s national security institutions.

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By Guest Author (Name Withheld)

When a country starts treating belonging as conditional and dissent as dangerous, it’s no longer deciding who gets to stay, but whether democracy itself will endure.

I came to America in the summer of 2016. I was twelve years old. My family and I landed at Newark Liberty International Airport, and though I didn’t fully understand what it meant to be in “the land of milk and honey,” I could see the hope in my parents’ eyes, and in the eyes of everyone we left behind. Everything felt new: the sounds, the smells, the vastness of the place. I was overwhelmed, but more than anything, I was excited. We had arrived.

My parents had not come for themselves alone; they foresaw a place where we could all have real stability. Not the precarious kind they had known. For them, being here meant a good American education for my siblings and me, endless job opportunities and the chance to dream, and expand on those dreams. They saw themselves earning enough not just to raise a family, but to have something they had rarely experienced: a full life, not one consumed entirely by the worry of making ends meet. They aimed to send money back home to relatives, paying for my cousins’ school fees, covering medical bills. And, most of all, they saw peace of mind. The idea that if they found good jobs and worked hard, they would be able to provide for their children and set us up for better, more stable futures: Higher education, help for people back home and everything they had not been able to have growing up.

The months that followed were not easy. My parents left before dawn and returned late at night, working jobs that wore them down. My mother struggled to adjust to new tastes, new attitudes, new people. I was the new girl in school, and as the oldest child, I had to help my parents navigate a system we barely understood. Still, we were building something.

Ten years later, I am a U.S. citizen. As a college student, I conduct research. I have found my academic path, and I have finally grown comfortable identifying as American. My parents have bought their first house in a quiet suburban neighborhood and can work sensible hours. They feel like they belong. For the first time since we arrived, the American dream has begun to feel real.

And Donald Trump was elected again.

Almost immediately, the administration rolled out policies that made our hard‑won stability feel fragile. Expedited removal was expanded, allowing deportation without a court hearing for anyone who could not prove they had been in the country for more than two years. An executive order attempted to end birthright citizenship, directly challenging the 14th Amendment. Sanctuary cities were threatened with the loss of federal funding. The IRS, Social Security Administration, and other agencies were ordered to share data with ICE, turning routine government functions into deportation infrastructure. A new nationwide registration system required non‑citizens, including children as young as fourteen, to submit fingerprints and personal information or face detention. Family detention was relaunched, and the task force reuniting families separated during the first term was disbanded.

These were not abstract policies. They created real fear. Now I find myself asking questions that never occurred to me before: Should I carry my passport everywhere I go? Does it even matter, or could I still end up in a detention center?

But the targeting has not stopped at immigration. Federal agents have been used to suppress protests, sometimes with tear gas. Student activists, including foreign students, have had their visas revoked for participating in campus demonstrations. The White House has pressured agencies to purge documents containing terms like “diversity,” “equality,” and “gender.” Broadcast licenses have been threatened for news outlets that produce critical reporting, which the president has labeled “enemies of the people.” The Department of Justice has been weaponized to investigate and prosecute political critics.

Then there are the killings of Renee Good and Alex Pretti. Two white American citizens, speaking for their rights, ended up dead. If two citizens can face that fate while exercising their freedoms, what does that say about where I, a Black immigrant, could end up if I encounter the same forces? This goes beyond race. It goes beyond citizenship status. It becomes a question of humanity, of democracy, of whether the little person can still be heard. It becomes a question of whether this country still cares more about its people than about political retribution and authoritarian consolidation.

This nation was built to be a home, a safe haven, a place for second chances, a place to start over. My family and I found that version of America, at least for a while. But under the second Trump administration, that America feels like a memory we can barely hold onto.

The American dream, the one my parents carried with them through the doors of Newark Liberty, has been cheapened. The values this country was built on are being stripped away. And what is replacing them is not strength, but fear, not democracy, but authoritarianism dressed in executive orders.

Guest Author (Name Withheld) is an immigrant who arrived in the U.S. at age twelve, the author is now a citizen, college student, and researcher. Having witnessed the first of Donald Trump’s terms, and currently living through the second, they remain grateful for what America has offered while feeling a deep responsibility to speak out and work for what it could yet become.

Founded in 2016, The Steady State is a nonprofit 501(c)(4) organization of more than 400 former senior national security professionals. Our membership includes former officials from the CIA, FBI, Department of State, Department of Defense, and Department of Homeland Security. Drawing on deep expertise across national security disciplines, including intelligence, diplomacy, military affairs, and law, we advocate for constitutional democracy, the rule of law, and the preservation of America’s national security institutions.

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The United States can—and must—protect national security without sacrificing civil liberties, but doing so requires strict adherence to legal constraints like the Privacy Act of 1974, robust oversight, and greater transparency; without these guardrails, the expanding power of government data risks being turned inward on citizens, undermining both public trust and the foundations of democratic governance.

Host Peter Mina opens the episode by framing the discussion within a broader concern about rising autocratic tendencies in the United States and the importance of safeguarding constitutional democracy.

Mina introduces Alex Joel, highlighting his extensive experience in the intelligence community and his current academic work on privacy and national security. Joel explains that his work focuses on the intersection of technology, national security, and privacy—particularly how governments access and use personal data, including across borders and in the context of AI. He recounts his career path, emphasizing that the September 11 attacks prompted his return to public service, driven by a commitment to both national security and civil liberties.

The Relationship Between Security and Liberty

Joel asserts that the two must coexist. Intelligence agencies need authority to conduct secret and sometimes intrusive activities to protect the nation, but those powers must be constrained by legal frameworks and oversight. He stresses that this balance is not fixed—it is dynamic and must continually adjust to new threats and technologies.

The Legal Framework

Joel describes the Privacy Act of 1974 as a foundational law born out of abuses revealed during the Watergate scandal. It established key protections: requiring transparency about government data holdings, limiting how agencies use and share information, allowing individuals to access their records, and restricting access to those with a “need to know.” He notes that while the law may need updating, its core principles remain highly relevant.

Risks of Modern Data Aggregation vs Interagency Sharing

Joel acknowledges that after 9/11, failures to share information led to reforms encouraging better data integration. However, he warns against creating massive centralized databases that could be misused. He emphasizes that data sharing must be tied to a “compatible purpose” and remain within legal constraints, rather than becoming a tool for broad or unjustified surveillance.

Reported Information Gathering to Monitor Protestors.

Joel draws a clear line: the government cannot lawfully collect or maintain records on individuals solely for exercising First Amendment rights. While investigations into violence or criminal activity are legitimate, using data to track or target peaceful protesters would be an abuse of power and a violation of longstanding protections developed after past intelligence overreach.

Transparency and Public Trust

Joel asserts the importance of transparency, pointing to reforms following the Edward Snowden disclosures. He argues that transparency is essential to maintaining legitimacy. While some secrecy is necessary to protect intelligence sources and methods, it should never be used to hide wrongdoing. If a government action cannot be publicly justified, he suggests it should be reconsidered.

Overall, the conversation underscores a central theme: democratic governance requires a constant, careful balancing of security and liberty—supported by legal safeguards, oversight, and transparency—especially as technological capabilities and government data power continue to expand.

Listen and Watch the full Podcast Here:

Founded in 2016, The Steady State is a nonprofit 501(c)(4) organization of more than 400 former senior national security professionals. Our membership includes former officials from the CIA, FBI, Department of State, Department of Defense, and Department of Homeland Security. Drawing on deep expertise across national security disciplines, including intelligence, diplomacy, military affairs, and law, we advocate for constitutional democracy, the rule of law, and the preservation of America’s national security institutions.

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Thomas Jefferson, one of the Founding Fathers and author of the Declaration of Independence, was also the first Secretary of State. Like George Washington, he wanted to avoid ‘entangling alliances,’ but also wanted to stress foreign commerce.

Through forced exits, ideological enforcement, and institutional neglect, the State Department is being transformed into a tool of loyalty rather than a source of expertise.

On the first day of Donald Trump’s first term in office, he fired every American ambassador appointed by his predecessor, demanding that they leave their offices by noon on January 20, without exception. Some 80 ambassadors for countries, international organizations, and agencies, and issues were summarily dismissed, with no replacements named. Departing from tradition, the dismissals also included career government personnel serving as ambassadors, who ordinarily would be allowed to serve out their terms before being replaced. From that point on, he showed a preference for appointing friends or relatives to deal with foreign affairs, sidelining the Department of State, and often referring to it as the ‘Deep’ State. His first Secretary of State, Rex Tillerson, and Tillerson’s successor, Mike Pompeo, resisted some of Trump’s more egregious actions, despite his blatant disdain for the personnel responsible for conducting American diplomacy.

Fast forward to Trump 2.0, and the guardrails providing a modicum of protection for America’s career diplomats have been, to use one of Trump’s favorite terms, “completely obliterated,” with the appointment of Marco Rubio. Rubio, the former US Senator from Florida, has demonstrated nothing but fealty to Trump’s efforts to complete the dismantling of anything resembling professional American diplomacy.

The administration’s actions to destroy American diplomacy have been blatant and deliberate, but unprecedented only in their scope and cruelty.

American political leaders have always had a jaundiced view of diplomats, beginning with America’s first Secretary of State, Thomas Jefferson, who wrote in a March 1800 statement:

“The true theory of our Constitution is surely the wisest and best, that the States are independent as to everything within themselves, and united as to everything respecting foreign affairs. Let the General Government be reduced to foreign concerns only, and let our affairs be disentangled from those of all other nations, except as to commerce, which the merchants will manage the better, the more they are left free to manage for themselves, and our General Government may be reduced to a very simple organization, and a very inexpensive one; a few plain duties to be performed by a few servants”

Thomas’s quote has often been truncated to “America only needs commercial counselors, not diplomats.” That is greatly overstating it, but this country’s leaders have, from the very beginning, been uncomfortable with ‘traditional’ diplomacy, often preferring personal envoys to solve specific problems, and interpreting ‘disentanglement’ from the affairs of other nations as a call for isolationism. Before 1893, for instance, the U.S. appointed senior representatives as Ministers rather than Ambassadors. There were no career American diplomats until the creation of the U.S. Foreign Service by The Foreign Service Act of 1924, which combined the diplomatic service and consular service into one organization whose employees were chosen on merit rather than by the spoils system.

What we’ve seen since January 2025, however, is a full-throated return, not just to the pre-1924 spoils system, but a perversion of Washington and Jefferson’s ‘avoid foreign entanglements’ caution in ways that neither of the Founding Fathers would be likely to recognize.

During the first year of his second term in office, Trump has engaged in transactional diplomacy, gunboat diplomacy, and scattershot, unpredictable diplomacy, all without career diplomats. To ensure that our diplomatic missions abroad adhere to his ‘America First’ policy, he abruptly pulled 30 career ambassadors and other senior career diplomats from their overseas posts. The recalled personnel were ordered to ‘find other jobs,’ or resign. The posts they vacated have remained vacant. According to the American Foreign Service Association (AFSA), as of April 2026, Trump has appointed only 6 career diplomats to ambassadorial or senior foreign service positions of the 76 total appointments. In the first seven months of his second term, he forced nearly 10 percent of the federal workforce from their jobs, which included a one-day layoff of 1,300 State Department employees. The layoffs were conducted without consultation with AFSA, as it usually would, and without providing a logical justification for individual cuts, leaving embassies and offices in Washington bereft of experienced employees to address multiple global crises.

Within the State Department, in addition to forcing out many senior, experienced people, which deprives the nation of centuries of institutional memory, all Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI) practices, rules, individuals, and organizations were banned; employees were forbidden to engage in employee union activities on duty time, and the only affinity group that was recognized by Rubio’s State Department was the Benjamin Franklin Fellowship, an organization of conservative-leaning department personnel. America First principles have also been instituted in the State Department’s National Foreign Affairs Training Center (NAFTC) curriculum and in the administration of the Foreign Service Officer Test (FSOT), imposing Trump’s ideology and personal loyalty requirements on the selection and indoctrination of America’s diplomats for decades to come.

We can see in real time the damage that Trump’s erratic, unpredictable, chaotic, transactional worldview is doing to American diplomacy and the world order that the United States helped create in the aftermath of World War II. Sudden cuts in foreign aid programs have led to thousands of preventable deaths in the world’s poorer countries, and undercut trust in the U.S. around the world. While loyalty to the decisions and policies of the elected leadership has always been a requirement of the career diplomatic service, there was also a duty to advise on problematic decisions and to push back against directives that violated the Constitution. In this administration, that is no longer the case. Employees are either afraid to speak out or have been selected based on their personal loyalty and choose not to.

Over time, this new reality can become the new normal. This mindset will have infected the institution from top to bottom. The trust that has been broken will not be easily restored. In the meantime, American diplomacy will be but a ghost of its former self. Where American diplomats were, even in countries where our policies were not liked, they were viewed with a modicum of respect; we will be ignored or vilified. We will have gone from being the antithesis of the autocratic societies we stood against to being ‘just another jackboot dictatorship.’

A house can be burned down in minutes. This is something I know from personal experience. But that house takes months to rebuild. We’re watching the deconstruction of American diplomacy, and it’s not in slow motion. The foundation is still there, but for how long, and what will it take to rebuild?

These are questions that every American should be asking—and to which they should be demanding answers.

Charles A. Ray served 20 years in the U.S. Army, including two tours in Vietnam. He retired as a senior US diplomat, serving 30 years in the U.S. Foreign Service, with assignments as ambassador to the Kingdom of Cambodia and the Republic of Zimbabwe, and was the first American consul general in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam. He also served in senior positions with the Department of Defense and is a member of The Steady State.

Founded in 2016, The Steady State is a nonprofit 501(c)(4) organization of more than 390 former senior national security professionals. Our membership includes former officials from the CIA, FBI, Department of State, Department of Defense, and Department of Homeland Security. Drawing on deep expertise across national security disciplines, including intelligence, diplomacy, military affairs, and law, we advocate for constitutional democracy, the rule of law, and the preservation of America’s national security institutions.

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From the Metropolitan Museum of Art Collection

When leaders face no consequences, democracy depends on voters—and the window to enforce accountability is closing.

When I saw the video of Kash Patel splashing beer around an Olympic locker room, two things struck me: I’m so thankful I’m no longer serving in the FBI, and Julius Caesar was right to divorce his wife.

To indulge in a little Roman history: it’s 64 BCE, and Julius Caesar has just won election to pontifex. Meanwhile, another nobleman, Clodius, is pursuing his wife, Pompeia. While Pompeia attends a religious ceremony barred to men, Clodius sneaks in, confessing he waits for Pompeia when the women find him. Caesar immediately divorces Pompeia in the fallout, providing no evidence against Clodius at the subsequent trial. When the judges ask how he can divorce her without proof to share, Caesar answers, “because my wife ought not even to be under suspicion.”

Now, as a newlywed myself, I disagree with Caesar’s approach to marriage. But the concept that those holding office must be held to standards so high that power becomes more burden than privilege is one we should embrace. Demanding and upholding standards of behavior from our public officials at the ballot box is among the most powerful ways we can reinforce the fundamental premise of our governmental system – our officials work for us.

Decline into Kakistocracy

Americans have a well-earned cynicism about those leading the institutions charged with safeguarding our health, economic future, and national security. That cynicism significantly predates the kakistocracy of 2026. Indeed, our nation’s highest officers already abdicated standards of conduct. How else to explain the Senate confirming a cabinet member who allows her husband to allegedly assault civil servants in government buildings, or a Director of National Intelligence whose affinity for Kremlin talking points is so ludicrously inappropriate? Supreme Court justices apparently personally decided lavish gifts from individuals aren’t bribes long before Snyder v. United States, and people regularly invest in the stock market using dashboards duplicating trades by Congressional members who sit on the affected committees. Our refusal to confront such behavior has made it easier to accept an increasingly venal political system, and that system naturally paved the way for opportunistic authoritarians.

The Onset of Authoritarianism

This administration, like all authoritarian regimes, demands that the population adhere to strict rules susceptible to change at any moment. The White House runs roughshod over both law and what turns out to be just norms and not actual laws; it’s the people who must adjust. This administration tells us we must not exercise our right to protest or to carry a gun. Don’t remind our servicemembers of their rights and obligations. Don’t take a scenic drive. The administration lulls people into self-soothing with the lie that if you just follow directions, you’ll be okay. If you aren’t an immigrant or don’t look like an immigrant, you won’t be deported. If you don’t get between an untrained ICE agent in sneakers and an “illegal,” you won’t be killed. If you aren’t transgender, or if no one thinks you’re transgender, you’ll be safe. If you have your birth certificate on hand, you’ll still be allowed to vote.

But these expectations only go one way. Such regimes do not consider themselves beholden to the people, and so the only behavior that matters is how deferential an official is to the leader. When Kash Patel makes a fool of himself in Milan and wastes our tax dollars for his girlfriend’s security detail, he’s showing us this new playbook. He’s telling Americans that the position he occupies is not worthy of dignity. He doesn’t work for us. He works for President Trump. And Trump, who sees himself as a king, as a pontifex, and as a pilot dumping feces on Americans, certainly doesn’t consider himself a public servant.

President Trump and his circle interpret government as something to use for self-enrichment, not something precious to steward. He won’t change.

Forging Something Better

But it’s not too late to forge something better. With midterms upon us, we have the opportunity to evaluate the character and capabilities of the people we trust to make decisions on our behalf. If the last year taught us anything, it’s that citizens have limited tools to confront flagrant abuses of power. We are, to a frightening extent, at the mercy of a cohort of legislators who either endorse the abandonment of a functioning republic or are too weak to confront it.

We cannot settle for voting in a status quo that facilitated this active dismantling of our republic. We must instead seize this opportunity to express this fundamental democratic principle that all power is derived from the people, and that each of those people, from the poorest to the most privileged, are of equal inherent value.

The White House is telling us we aren’t citizens, but subjects to be ruled. We cannot accept that demotion.

Max Estevao is a former FBI Intelligence Analyst who covered Latin America and Middle East counterintelligence issues. He left federal service in 2025 and now works in private strategic intelligence and security consulting.

Founded in 2016, The Steady State is a nonprofit 501(c)(4) organization of more than 400 former senior national security professionals. Our membership includes former officials from the CIA, FBI, Department of State, Department of Defense, and Department of Homeland Security. Drawing on deep expertise across national security disciplines, including intelligence, diplomacy, military affairs, and law, we advocate for constitutional democracy, the rFounded Rule of law, and the preservation of America’s national security institutions.

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By Guest Author: H.E. Emmett Imani

When pressure sounds like permission to target civilian lifelines, it stops deterring adversaries and starts inviting escalation—with consequences that won’t stay theoretical.

The current tone surrounding Donald Trump and Iran is not simply another episode of political pressure. It is moving into a territory where language itself begins to shape outcomes.

Recent remarks referencing the destruction of bridges and electrical generation systems deserve careful attention. These are not abstract targets. They’re parts of civilian life. Hospitals, water systems, communications, and food distribution are sustained by power grids. Bridges are not just transportation routes. They are arteries for civilian movement, evacuation, and economic continuity.

Under the framework of the Geneva Conventions, actions affecting civilian infrastructure are subject to longstanding international legal standards governing proportionality and distinction. Public statements that seem to endorse or normalize attacks on such systems without clearly defined military necessity could risk being interpreted as inconsistent with these obligations. Even when no action follows, the signaling itself carries weight.

This is where misinterpretation begins to expand beyond intent.

Other nations, particularly those already skeptical of U.S. strategic posture, may read such language not as conditional or tactical, but as permissive. A willingness to degrade civilian infrastructure can be interpreted as a lowering of thresholds. That perception does not remain contained. It travels through diplomatic channels, intelligence assessments, and alliance discussions. It shapes reactions.

The strategic consequences are immediate, even if they are not always visible.

Escalatory rhetoric increases regional risk. It raises the probability of miscalculation across the Gulf. It places pressure on already fragile balances involving energy transit routes, particularly around the Strait of Hormuz, where even limited disruption has global economic implications. It complicates alliance cohesion, especially among partners who must publicly reconcile security cooperation with adherence to humanitarian norms.

At the same time, history suggests something more grounded, almost predictable. Broad threats against civilian systems rarely produce negotiation leverage. They tend to consolidate internal resistance. They narrow political space inside the targeted country. They make compromise look like surrender.

If the objective is to influence Iran’s leadership, this approach works against that goal.

There are alternatives, and they are not theoretical. They are practical, available, and consistent with both strategic and legal considerations.

First, recalibrate public language. Clarify that U.S. objectives remain limited and do not target civilian systems. Precision here is not cosmetic. It directly affects how messages are received and interpreted.

Second, signal conditional restraint. Pair any pressure with a visible boundary that reassures both allies and adversaries that escalation is not open-ended.

Third, open or reaffirm a diplomatic channel. Pressure without a pathway leads nowhere. Even adversarial engagement requires a defined exit ramp.

Fourth, reaffirm adherence to international humanitarian principles in both rhetoric and operational planning. This is not only a legal position. It is a strategic one. Credibility depends on consistency.

It is also important to acknowledge the reality facing leadership at this level. Decisions are not made in isolation. They are shaped by competing pressures, incomplete information, and urgency. That is understood. But it is precisely under those conditions that restraint becomes a strategic asset rather than a limitation.

As the Guardian of the House of Afshar, I emphasize that Iran is not reducible to its governing structure. It is a society with continuity, complexity, and a civilian population that cannot be abstracted into strategic targets. As an Ambassador of Peace, I emphasize that conflict prevention begins before conflict itself. It begins with language that does not unintentionally authorize escalation.

President Trump’s words, particularly regarding infrastructure, sit in a space where they can be understood in more than one way. That ambiguity is the risk. When references to disabling a nation’s lifelines enter public discourse without clear limitation, they begin to resemble, even if unintentionally, the language associated with prohibited conduct.

There remains a narrow window to recalibrate. To clarify intent. To restore precision in communication and preserve diplomatic options that have not yet fully closed

Because the question is no longer rhetorical.

When a leader speaks of dismantling the essential systems that sustain civilian life, even as a form of pressure, the world is left to decide how to interpret it. Whether as strategy, or as something closer to the edge of what international law was designed to prevent.

And once that line begins to blur, it does not stay theoretical for long.

Guest Author H.E. Emmett Imani is Guardian of the House of Afshar. Guardian of the House of Afshar, Ambassador of Peace, UNESCO Center for Peace. Founded by his descendants, [the House of Ashar] seeks to preserve, promote, and share the rich cultural, historical, and familial heritage of the Afshar dynasty, ensuring it is passed on to future generations. The House of Afshar stands as a symbol of unity, pride, and the enduring legacy of a remarkable history.

Founded in 2016, The Steady State is a nonprofit 501(c)(4) organization of more than 400 former senior national security professionals. Our membership includes former officials from the CIA, FBI, Department of State, Department of Defense, and Department of Homeland Security. Drawing on deep expertise across national security disciplines, including intelligence, diplomacy, military affairs, and law, we advocate for constitutional democracy, the rule of law, and the preservation of America’s national security institutions.

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Puppet or not, Donald Trump has delivered on nearly every strategic objective Russia could hope for from an American president.

Donald Trump has long appeared to be in the thrall of Russian President Vladimir Putin. In her October 2016 Presidential Campaign debate, Hillary Clinton called Trump a puppet for Putin. It struck a nerve, and an angry Trump responded, “No puppet! You’re the puppet!” Secretary Clinton was referring to multiple reports of Russian money bankrolling Trump’s candidacy and reported comments from Trump’s own sons regarding the prevalence of lots of Russian money invested in Trump businesses.

If you look at the many seriously extra-Constitutional actions Trump has carried out as President, there have been clear benefits to Putin and Russia to the equally clear detriment of the United States. From campaigning to destroy NATO, to threatening close allies and major trading partners with massive on-again off-again tariffs, to selling out Ukraine, to rewarding Russia for providing Iranians targeting data to kill American soldiers in the Gulf, Trump’s goal appears to be to weaken America’s world leadership, power, and prestige.

Ukraine has been bravely fighting to defend democracy against Russia, a brutal dictatorship that America has long considered a dangerous adversary. Yet Trump has rewarded Ukrainian courage by cutting off American aid, repeatedly belittling President Zelenskyy while praising aggressor Putin, and making it increasingly clear that he wants Putin to prevail.

With Trump’s seemingly impulsive start of an unprovoked war in the Middle East, the question is no longer whether Trump does things to weaken and diminish America globally; coincidentally, in lockstep with Putin’s dream of payback for America’s role in the dissolution of the communist Soviet Union.

Reminiscent of Trump’s 2018 Helsinki statement contradicting US intelligence and taking Putin’s word as conclusive that Russia played no role in the 2016 election, when asked about recent reports from Ukrainian and regional intelligence sources of Russian targeting American forces for Iran, Trump’s billionaire international negotiator-at-large, Steve Witkoff told the press in March that it’s not a problem, saying, “The Russians said they have not been sharing. That’s what they said. So, we can take them at their word.” This, despite Putin confirming Russia’s unwavering support of and solidarity with Iran. As if to confirm he is indeed still in Putin’s sway, in the wake of Iran shutting the Strait of Hormuz, Trump lifted sanctions on Russian oil, gifting Putin freedom to sell unlimited amounts of its oil and finance Russian military aggression against Ukraine.

Trump first attracted Moscow’s beneficence when he needed cash bailouts in the 1980s and ‘90s. This financial dependence grew over time, making Trump increasingly susceptible to Russian influence. He was the perfect “Manchurian Candidate” for Putin: an American businessman with political ambitions who whom Putin would later help become President in exchange for “favors” to Putin. Trump is well known for being 100% amorally transactional, using whatever ideology, value system, or performative act suits the moment, while actually operating independently of any doctrine, to secure whatever he perceives will net him personal gain.

It is well known that Russian oligarchs laundered money through Trump’s business operations in the days of his multiple bankruptcies in the 1990s, when he could not get any loans from reputable banks. Russian financial “help” expanded considerably during the 2016 Presidential Campaign. The Center for American Progress has documented an expanded pattern of contacts and transfers of money between Russia-linked operatives and members of the 2016 Trump campaign and 2017 transition team, concluding “while an analysis of the publicly known transactions cannot answer all the questions about Trump’s involvement with Russia, they do show a significant nexus between his political campaign and Russian money and suggest a number of important avenues for further oversight and investigation.”

Trump’s 2016 Campaign Manager, Paul Manafort, who was previously employed by Putin’s people to install a pro-Russian puppet as Ukraine’s president in 2010, admitted that he was regularly feeding campaign strategy and polling information to Russian intelligence. Throughout the campaign, Manafort let Russian intelligence know how best to help Trump win, and it appears that Russia indeed jumped into American social media with viral bots and propaganda.

There are credible assertions from American intelligence sources that when Trump was first elected, there was literally partying in the Kremlin, celebrating a victory they believed they had made happen. In his first months in office, Trump outed an Israeli spy to the Russian Foreign Minister in what Trump thought was going to be a “secret Oval Office meeting.” Ironically, the Russians released an embarrassing photo to the press, resulting in Mossad having to relocate and provide a new identity for that spy. That in turn prompted the CIA to worry that a longtime American spy in the Kremlin was similarly vulnerable to Trump outing him to Putin. According to CNN and other reporting, the CIA concluded that the risk Trump had revealed or was about to reveal our human asset was so great that they pulled our spy out of Russia in 2017, the first year of Trump’s presidency.

The Steele Dossier and Mueller Report both suggest plausible reasons for Trump to act as Putin’s puppet (blackmail, money, and domestic political help). However, the former relied on confidential sources and was publicly squelched by a vigorous disinformation campaign, while the latter was limited in scope by then-Attorney General Barr. Over Trump’s first term in office, there were several meetings and calls with Putin and Russian leaders with apparent coordination and “meeting of the minds.” No memoranda or notes were taken; the most curious meeting being an unusually cordial, even jovial, tete-a-tete in the Oval Office with Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov, closed to media coverage with only a Russian propaganda “readout” afterward.

. Further, Trump’s January 2021 theft of highly classified national security secrets is, in itself, consistent with Trump continuing to act as Putin’s “useful idiot.” It is still unclear exactly why Trump stole that trove of classified material; he may have taken it to show to Putin, to sell to Putin, to sell to other nations, or to hoard it. But take the material he did, and having those documents in his Mar-a-Lago country club was a clear and significant national security problem for the United States. And a clear and significant national security problem for the United States is a clear and significant win for Mr. Putin. It proved to Putin that Trump would violate the strictest US regulations if he felt he could benefit or please another world leader. Even if this was not a task that Putin gave Trump, it was validation that Trump would take a significant risk to please Putin while endangering the national security of his own country. It was also some confirmation that Trump was eager to please Putin, which is not at all a trivial thing for his Russian counterparts to know should they need or want it.

Puppet or No Puppet? You be the judge. What specific actions to weaken America would Putin ask a puppet to pursue? A few very serious “asks”:

– Withdrawing US assistance to Ukraine to facilitate a Russian takeover. Check!
– Disengaging from US alliances to weaken the economic and military strength of the Western democracies. Check!
– Destabilizing and weakening the US economy through on-again, off-again crippling trade tariffs. Check!
– Belittling, attacking, sowing discord in NATO and EU nations to reduce their ability and confidence to counter a Russian expansionist agenda. Check!
– Lifting sanctions on Russian oil to provide more financial and material lifeblood to Russia’s military operations (which are simultaneously providing an active US adversary with targeting data on our troops). Double check!

The real question is, WHY would Trump want to enable Putin’s anti-America agenda? Why would he imperil three-quarters of a century of post-World War II American leadership, forging peace-promoting alliances, creating trade-enhancing partnerships, and conducting humanitarian democratic nation-building, undermining America’s strength and reputation?

His siding with a historically belligerent adversary nation begs the question whether Trump is operating as Putin’s quisling apostate. While there is as yet no “smoking gun” proof that he is, in fact, a Russian asset, Trump has certainly been doing all the things one would expect a well-placed Russian agent to do.

Douglas Clapp, Captain USCG (Ret.) is a member of The Steady State. His career service in Maritime Safety & Security culminated as Deputy Director of the Coast Guard’s Training & Education System, Reserve Component, and Leadership/Diversity functions. In his post-military career, he served as Senior Analyst for the Operations Directorate, USNORTHCOM as a missions expert in Defense of the Homeland and Defense Support of Civil Authorities for emergencies and disasters.

Founded in 2016, The Steady State is a nonprofit 501(c)(4) organization of more than 400 former senior national security professionals. Our membership includes former officials from the CIA, FBI, Department of State, Department of Defense, and Department of Homeland Security. Drawing on deep expertise across national security disciplines, including intelligence, diplomacy, military affairs, and law, we advocate for constitutional democracy, the rFounded ule of law, and the preservation of America’s national security institutions.

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DATE-TIME GROUP: 04160800ZAPRIL26

FROM: EMBASSY OF FREDONIA, WASHINGTON, D.C.

TO: MFA NAGADOCHES

CLASSIFICATION: CONEOFSILENCE // FREDONIAN EYES ONLY

SUBJECT: “ONE BIG BEAUTIFUL YEAR” – TRUMP’S SECOND‑TERM DOMESTIC AGENDA, TARIFFS, AND THE ADMINISTRATIVE STATE

SUMMARY:

IN ACCORDANCE WITH MFA DIRECTIVE 1826-APRIL-1, THIS EMBASSY HAS INITIATED A REGULAR SERIES OF ANALYTICAL DISPATCHES REGARDING THE INTERNAL DYNAMICS OF THE UNITED STATES. THE SERIES, DESIGNATED “THE FREDONIA PROJECT,” WILL BE CIRCULATED UNDER STANDARD SITREP PROTOCOL. UNAUTHORIZED PUBLICATION HAS BEEN OBSERVED VIA A THIRD-PARTY ENTITY KNOWN AS “THE STEADY STATE.” PRESUMED LEAK. NO ACTION REQUIRED.

From February 2026 through March 2026, Donald Trump’s second term has been marked by a mix of legislative pushes, executive actions, policy shifts, and highly choreographed rhetoric designed to solidify last year’s trend towards authoritarianism in the form of centralized, personalized presidential power The White House frames this period as one of “historic progress,” claiming Trump has made “more progress in three weeks than they made in four years,” restored American “respect,” and delivered “record‑low” border encounters. From the outside, it looks more like a broad stress test on the US system: a deliberate effort to weaken the administrative state, use migration and crime as political organizing tools, weaponize tariffs and energy policy, and redefine the relationship between the presidency, federal agencies, and the law.

The Trump administration has issued a sweeping deregulation order requiring federal agencies to identify and roll back regulations and enforcement actions beyond explicit statutory authority. This is a systematic campaign to install Project 2025-ish plans to put the civil service under presidential control and trash any Obama‑ or Biden‑era rules. This order includes an expanding gray zone, under which enforcement depends less on an interpretation of statutes and more on White House preferences. (Ambassador comment: As with everything Trump, from the 90,000 square foot ballroom to Epic Fury, the president seeks to make the civil service of the United States reflect Trumpian values and goals. Given the history of failure of everything Trump – from real estate to casinos to steaks to a university to wine, should this new civil service triumph, it will be all form and little substance, providing few, if any, of the services the civil service is supposed to provide in support citizens of the United States.)

Immigration policy sits at the center of the Administration’s agenda. The actions that support that agenda include large‑scale deportations, tightened asylum access, and pressure on states to restrict licenses and IDs for undocumented residents. The White House routinely claims “millions” of removals and “self‑deportations,” negative net migration in 2025, and record‑low border encounters, while touting thousands of arrests and a sharp drop in fentanyl trafficking. (Ambassador comment: These numbers are complete nonsense; unsurprising given the weak link between Trump and Reality. It seems likely that the number of actions that support Trump’s policy agenda has political power within the Trump ecosystem, even as the definitions of these actions are contested. Additionally, and still unsurprisingly, the unbelievable numbers of these activities bolster Trump’s narrative, which criminalizes immigration, making extraordinary enforcement appear completely rational.)

Law‑and‑order politics extends beyond immigration. Under the “Save America Act” label, the Administration has advanced measures it describes as strengthening tools against violent and drug‑related crime and tightening election procedures, including litigation to gain access to state voter rolls. This bundle of policies ties criminal justice and immigration enforcement together, and nudges the federal government deeper into the mechanics of election administration, a function regulated at the state level. (Ambassador comment: The continuing attempts by Trump to unconstitutionally put a Federal thumb on the elections’ scales are clearly continuing apace. We assume this will continue either until the elections or until the courts rule against it. It is clearly unconstitutional, and even this Supreme Court should recognize that. Could, but may not.) Trump also created a new initiative for government efficiency, colloquially branded as a Department for Government Efficiency, or “DOGE,” with a prominent advisory role for Elon Musk. Officially, DOGE was tasked with rooting out “waste, fraud, and abuse” across federal programs and has been credited by the Administration with more than 200 billion dollars in projected savings. In fact, DOGE functioned as an instrument for reshaping the state from the inside: targeting disfavored programs, rewarding priorities aligned with presidential politics, and inviting an unusually close relationship between a politically allied billionaire and federal resource allocation. (Ambassador Comment: In the time since DOGE was created, the actual savings have proven far less substantial than DOGE and Trump claimed in February, March, April, and on and on. Through April 2025, DOGE has claimed that it saved 52.8 billion dollars; the actual amount saved is, at this point is likely far less. According to Politico, the savings were about 1.4 billion, nothing like the amount Trump, Musk, and their allies have claimed. Finally, it should be stressed that not only did the cuts not trim a ton of fat, but the federal government will likely have to hire contractors at a higher pay rate than the Federal employees Trump and company removed. The accomplishments of the Trump-Musk alliance seem to disappear when light focuses upon them.)

Perhaps the easiest thread to track as it runs through this period is Trump’s campaign against what he calls the “deep state” or “administrative state.” He now openly promises to “destroy the deep state,” “fire the unelected tyrants” in Washington, and replace “rogue bureaucrats” with “patriots.” These statements track closely with external planning documents such as Project 2025 that call for mass personnel changes, ideological screening of civil servants, and expanded presidential control over agencies traditionally considered semi‑independent. Combined with the deregulatory order, DOGE’s activities, and ongoing attacks on inspectors general and independent watchdogs, Trump’s stated plans signal an ambition not just to win elections and pass laws, but to fundamentally remake the relationship between the presidency, the bureaucracy, and the rule of law. (Ambassador Comment: As noted above, it seems likely that if the U.S. government ever replaces people and capabilities Musk shredded, the cost of the government will increase by millions of dollars. And, so, another version of Trump economics fails spectacularly; quelle surprise. And the set of inglorious failures to date keeps getting longer.)

Founded in 2016, The Steady State is a nonprofit 501(c)(4) organization of more than 400 former senior national security professionals. Our membership includes former officials from the CIA, FBI, Department of State, Department of Defense, and Department of Homeland Security. Drawing on deep expertise across national security disciplines, including intelligence, diplomacy, military affairs, and law, we advocate for constitutional democracy, the rule of law, and the preservation of America’s national security institutions.

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